Trends
What the slate looks like
Aggregated across 24 upcoming fixtures over the next three days, of which 18 have enough history to model properly.
Average expected goals
2.72
Per match across the modelled slate
Leaning over 2.5
39%
Fixtures the model puts above 55% for over 2.5
Leaning BTTS
50%
Fixtures the model puts above 55% for BTTS
Fixtures the model feels most strongly about
Ranked by how far the outcome spread sits from a three-way coin flip. These are the matches where the ratings are actually saying something — not necessarily the ones offering the best price.
Ligue 1Tomorrow · 19:45
Paris Saint-Germain FC65%
Stade Rennais FC 190115%xG
3.38
O2.5
66%
BTTS
60%
Top selection
Home Win
Fair odds
1.54
EredivisieToday · 20:00
SC Heerenveen62%
PEC Zwolle17%xG
3.27
O2.5
63%
BTTS
59%
Top selection
Home Win
Fair odds
1.61
Premier LeagueTomorrow · 14:00
Manchester City FC60%
AFC Bournemouth17%xG
3.01
O2.5
58%
BTTS
56%
Top selection
Home Win
Fair odds
1.68
Campeonato Brasileiro Série AToday · 20:00
Fluminense FC55%
Clube do Remo19%xG
2.89
O2.5
55%
BTTS
56%
Top selection
Home or Draw (1X)
Fair odds
1.23
Primera DivisionTomorrow · 20:30
Elche CF24%
FC Barcelona54%xG
3.10
O2.5
60%
BTTS
59%
Top selection
Away Win
Fair odds
1.85
Serie ATomorrow · 19:45
Atalanta BC49%
US Sassuolo Calcio24%xG
2.41
O2.5
43%
BTTS
47%
Top selection
Under 2.5 Goals
Fair odds
1.76