BetriX
Saudi-Arabian Pro League· Round 2Full time

Al-Khaleej

0-0

Prince Mohamed bin Fahd Stadium

Al-Shabab

Model's strongest readHome Win60.1% · fair 1.6630/100 confidence

Match analysis

Model generated

Al-Khaleej favoured at 60%, in a middling game

The model projects 1.72 goals for Al-Khaleej and 0.81 for Al-Shabab, giving 60% for the home win, 21% for the draw and 18% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 30 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

On goals, 2.52 expected in total puts over 2.5 at 46% and both teams to score at 44%. That is close enough to a coin flip that the goals markets offer little edge either way.

Recent form: Al-Khaleej have taken 7 points from their last 3 (DWW), scoring 7 and conceding 1. Al-Shabab have 3 from 3 (LWL), scoring 3 and conceding 7.

Across the last 1 meetings, Al-Khaleej have won 0, Al-Shabab 0, with 1 drawn and 0.00 goals a game. Head-to-head is a small sample and the model treats it as context, not evidence.

  • Most likely scoreline: 1-0 at 15%
  • Expected goals: 1.72 - 0.81
  • Clean sheet chance: Al-Khaleej 45%, Al-Shabab 18%
  • Al-Shabab rate materially stronger in attack
  • Model confidence is backed by 21/100 data quality

Match result

1X2
Al-Khaleej1.6660.1%
Draw4.6721.4%
Al-Shabab5.4118.5%

Odds shown are the model's fair price — what the bet would be worth with no bookmaker margin attached.

Goals

2.52 expected

Home xG

1.72

Away xG

0.81

Total

2.52

Over 0.5
93%
Over 1.5
71%
Over 2.5
46%
Over 3.5
25%
Over 4.5
11%

Both teams to score

BTTS

44%

Yes

56%

No

Al-Khaleej clean sheet

45%

Al-Shabab clean sheet

18%

Double chance

Two outcomes covered
1XAl-Khaleej or Draw1.2382%
X2Al-Shabab or Draw2.5140%
12Either team1.2779%

Correct score

Most likely scorelines
  1. 1-0
    14.9%
  2. 2-0
    11.8%
  3. 1-1
    10.0%
  4. 2-1
    9.5%
  5. 0-1
    7.6%
  6. 0-0
    6.9%
  7. 3-0
    6.8%
  8. 3-1
    5.5%
  9. 1-2
    4.5%
  10. 2-2
    3.9%

Correct score is a long shot by nature — even the likeliest scoreline here is well under evens.

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Recent form

Most recent first
Al-Khaleej7 pts / 9
DWW
7 scored1 conceded33% BTTS2 clean sheets
Al-Shabab3 pts / 9
LWL
3 scored7 conceded67% BTTS1 clean sheets

Head to head

Last 1 meetings

0

Al-Khaleej

1

Draws

0

Al-Shabab

  • 22 Aug 26Al-Khaleej 0-0 Al-Shabab

Head-to-head is context, not evidence. Squads turn over, and five meetings is far too small a sample to move a probability on its own — the model treats it that way.