UEFA Champions League· Round 400Tue, 25 Aug · 17:45 WAT
Sabah Baku
17:45
Tofiq Bahramov Republican Stadium
Hapoel Be'er Sheva
Match analysis
Model generatedNot enough history to call Sabah Baku vs Hapoel Be'er Sheva
The model projects 1.35 goals for Sabah Baku and 0.50 for Hapoel Be'er Sheva, giving 56% for the home win, 32% for the draw and 12% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 45 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
On goals, 1.85 expected in total puts over 2.5 at 28% and both teams to score at 31%. This projects as a cagey afternoon; the unders look the more solid side of the market.
Recent form: Sabah Baku have taken 6 points from their last 2 (WW), scoring 4 and conceding 1. Hapoel Be'er Sheva have 0 from 0 (), scoring 0 and conceding 0.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-0 at 19%
- Expected goals: 1.35 - 0.50
- Clean sheet chance: Sabah Baku 61%, Hapoel Be'er Sheva 26%
- Model confidence is backed by 14/100 data quality
- One or both clubs have too few completed matches in the sample for a reliable rating.
Match result
1X2Odds shown are the model's fair price — what the bet would be worth with no bookmaker margin attached.
Goals
1.85 expectedHome xG
1.35
Away xG
0.50
Total
1.85
Both teams to score
BTTS31%
Yes
69%
No
Sabah Baku clean sheet
Hapoel Be'er Sheva clean sheet
Double chance
Two outcomes coveredCorrect score
Most likely scorelines- 1-019.1%
- 0-017.8%
- 2-014.4%
- 1-112.7%
- 2-17.2%
- 3-06.5%
- 0-15.7%
- 3-13.2%
- 1-22.6%
- 4-02.2%
Correct score is a long shot by nature — even the likeliest scoreline here is well under evens.
This is a Weekend Pass feature.
Unlock Weekend PassRecent form
Most recent firstNo completed matches in the sample.
Head to head
Previous meetingsNo previous meetings found in the available data.