BetriX
Club Friendlies· Round 0Full time

Numancia

2-1

Nuevo Estadio Los Pajaritos

Real Zaragoza

Match analysis

Model generated

Not enough history to call Numancia vs Real Zaragoza

The model projects 1.13 goals for Numancia and 0.65 for Real Zaragoza, giving 45% for the home win, 37% for the draw and 19% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 38 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

On goals, 1.78 expected in total puts over 2.5 at 26% and both teams to score at 35%. This projects as a cagey afternoon; the unders look the more solid side of the market.

Across the last 1 meetings, Numancia have won 1, Real Zaragoza 0, with 0 drawn and 3.00 goals a game. Head-to-head is a small sample and the model treats it as context, not evidence.

  • Most likely scoreline: 0-0 at 19%
  • Expected goals: 1.13 - 0.65
  • Clean sheet chance: Numancia 52%, Real Zaragoza 32%
  • Model confidence is backed by 8/100 data quality
  • One or both clubs have too few completed matches in the sample for a reliable rating.

Match result

1X2
Numancia2.2444.7%
Draw2.7336.7%
Real Zaragoza5.3718.6%

Odds shown are the model's fair price — what the bet would be worth with no bookmaker margin attached.

Goals

1.78 expected

Home xG

1.13

Away xG

0.65

Total

1.78

Over 0.5
81%
Over 1.5
56%
Over 2.5
26%
Over 3.5
11%
Over 4.5
3%

Both teams to score

BTTS

35%

Yes

65%

No

Numancia clean sheet

52%

Real Zaragoza clean sheet

32%

Double chance

Two outcomes covered
1XNumancia or Draw1.2381%
X2Real Zaragoza or Draw1.8155%
12Either team1.5863%

Correct score

Most likely scorelines
  1. 0-0
    19.4%
  2. 1-0
    16.6%
  3. 1-1
    14.9%
  4. 2-0
    10.8%
  5. 0-1
    8.5%
  6. 2-1
    7.0%
  7. 3-0
    4.1%
  8. 1-2
    4.0%
  9. 0-2
    3.6%
  10. 3-1
    2.6%

Correct score is a long shot by nature — even the likeliest scoreline here is well under evens.

This is a Weekend Pass feature.

Unlock Weekend Pass

Recent form

Last matches

No recent completed matches for either side in the data available for this competition.

Head to head

Last 1 meetings

1

Numancia

0

Draws

0

Real Zaragoza

  • 22 Aug 26Numancia 2-1 Real Zaragoza

Head-to-head is context, not evidence. Squads turn over, and five meetings is far too small a sample to move a probability on its own — the model treats it that way.