BetriX
Copa PaulistaLIVE

Grêmio Prudente

1-0

Marília

Match analysis

Model generated

Not enough history to call Grêmio Prudente vs Marília

The model projects 1.73 goals for Grêmio Prudente and 1.35 for Marília, giving 46% for the home win, 25% for the draw and 29% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 0 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

On goals, 3.08 expected in total puts over 2.5 at 60% and both teams to score at 62%. The shape of the game favours backing goals rather than sitting on a result.

  • Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 11%
  • Expected goals: 1.73 - 1.35
  • Clean sheet chance: Grêmio Prudente 26%, Marília 18%
  • Outcome spread is near-uniform — this is a genuinely open match
  • Only 0 completed matches available for this competition — not enough history to model this fixture.

Match result

1X2
Grêmio Prudente2.1746.0%
Draw4.0824.5%
Marília3.4029.5%

Odds shown are the model's fair price — what the bet would be worth with no bookmaker margin attached.

Goals

3.08 expected

Home xG

1.73

Away xG

1.35

Total

3.08

Over 0.5
95%
Over 1.5
82%
Over 2.5
60%
Over 3.5
37%
Over 4.5
20%

Both teams to score

BTTS

62%

Yes

38%

No

Grêmio Prudente clean sheet

26%

Marília clean sheet

18%

Double chance

Two outcomes covered
1XGrêmio Prudente or Draw1.4271%
X2Marília or Draw1.8554%
12Either team1.3375%

Correct score

Most likely scorelines
  1. 1-1
    11.3%
  2. 2-1
    9.3%
  3. 1-0
    7.4%
  4. 1-2
    7.2%
  5. 2-0
    6.9%
  6. 2-2
    6.3%
  7. 0-1
    5.6%
  8. 3-1
    5.4%
  9. 0-0
    5.1%
  10. 0-2
    4.2%

Correct score is a long shot by nature — even the likeliest scoreline here is well under evens.

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Recent form

Last matches

No recent completed matches for either side in the data available for this competition.

Head to head

Previous meetings

No previous meetings found in the available data.