BetriX
Turkish 1 Lig· Round 3LIVE

Bodrum

0-0

Bodrum İlçe Stadyumu

Muğlaspor

Match analysis

Model generated

Not enough history to call Bodrum vs Muğlaspor

The model projects 1.29 goals for Bodrum and 0.75 for Muğlaspor, giving 47% for the home win, 34% for the draw and 19% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 45 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

On goals, 2.04 expected in total puts over 2.5 at 33% and both teams to score at 41%. This projects as a cagey afternoon; the unders look the more solid side of the market.

Recent form: Bodrum have taken 2 points from their last 3 (DLD), scoring 3 and conceding 5. Muğlaspor have 0 from 1 (L), scoring 0 and conceding 2.

Across the last 1 meetings, Bodrum have won 0, Muğlaspor 0, with 1 drawn and 0.00 goals a game. Head-to-head is a small sample and the model treats it as context, not evidence.

  • Most likely scoreline: 0-0 at 16%
  • Expected goals: 1.29 - 0.75
  • Clean sheet chance: Bodrum 47%, Muğlaspor 28%
  • Bodrum rate materially stronger in attack
  • Model confidence is backed by 19/100 data quality
  • One or both clubs have too few completed matches in the sample for a reliable rating.

Match result

1X2
Bodrum2.1446.7%
Draw2.9434.1%
Muğlaspor5.2019.2%

Odds shown are the model's fair price — what the bet would be worth with no bookmaker margin attached.

Goals

2.04 expected

Home xG

1.29

Away xG

0.75

Total

2.04

Over 0.5
84%
Over 1.5
63%
Over 2.5
33%
Over 3.5
15%
Over 4.5
6%

Both teams to score

BTTS

41%

Yes

59%

No

Bodrum clean sheet

47%

Muğlaspor clean sheet

28%

Double chance

Two outcomes covered
1XBodrum or Draw1.2481%
X2Muğlaspor or Draw1.8853%
12Either team1.5266%

Correct score

Most likely scorelines
  1. 0-0
    15.6%
  2. 1-1
    15.1%
  3. 1-0
    14.3%
  4. 2-0
    10.8%
  5. 2-1
    8.1%
  6. 0-1
    7.3%
  7. 1-2
    4.7%
  8. 3-0
    4.6%
  9. 0-2
    3.7%
  10. 3-1
    3.5%

Correct score is a long shot by nature — even the likeliest scoreline here is well under evens.

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Recent form

Most recent first
Bodrum2 pts / 9
DLD
3 scored5 conceded67% BTTS0 clean sheets
Muğlaspor0 pts / 3
L
0 scored2 conceded0% BTTS0 clean sheets

Head to head

Last 1 meetings

0

Bodrum

1

Draws

0

Muğlaspor

  • 22 Aug 26Bodrum 0-0 Muğlaspor

Head-to-head is context, not evidence. Squads turn over, and five meetings is far too small a sample to move a probability on its own — the model treats it that way.