German Bundesliga· Round 1Fri, 28 Aug · 19:30 WAT
Bayern Munich
19:30
Allianz Arena
Stuttgart
Match analysis
Model generatedBayern Munich favoured at 96%, in a high-scoring game
The model projects 5.72 goals for Bayern Munich and 0.91 for Stuttgart, giving 96% for the home win, 2% for the draw and 1% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 30 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
On goals, 6.62 expected in total puts over 2.5 at 96% and both teams to score at 59%. The shape of the game favours backing goals rather than sitting on a result.
Recent form: Bayern Munich have taken 9 points from their last 3 (WWW), scoring 12 and conceding 4. Stuttgart have 4 from 4 (WLDL), scoring 6 and conceding 8.
- Most likely scoreline: 5-0 at 7%
- Expected goals: 5.72 - 0.91
- Clean sheet chance: Bayern Munich 40%, Stuttgart 0%
- Bayern Munich rate materially stronger in attack
- Model confidence is backed by 24/100 data quality
Match result
1X2Odds shown are the model's fair price — what the bet would be worth with no bookmaker margin attached.
Goals
6.62 expectedHome xG
5.72
Away xG
0.91
Total
6.62
Both teams to score
BTTS59%
Yes
41%
No
Bayern Munich clean sheet
Stuttgart clean sheet
Double chance
Two outcomes coveredCorrect score
Most likely scorelines- 5-07.0%
- 6-06.7%
- 5-16.3%
- 4-06.1%
- 6-16.0%
- 4-15.5%
- 7-05.4%
- 7-14.9%
- 3-04.3%
- 8-03.9%
Correct score is a long shot by nature — even the likeliest scoreline here is well under evens.
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Most recent firstHead to head
Previous meetingsNo previous meetings found in the available data.