BetriX
French Ligue 1· Round 1LIVE

Troyes

0-0

Stade de l'Aube

Paris FC

Match analysis

Model generated

Not enough history to call Troyes vs Paris FC

The model projects 0.27 goals for Troyes and 0.29 for Paris FC, giving 19% for the home win, 61% for the draw and 20% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 36 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

On goals, 0.55 expected in total puts over 2.5 at 2% and both teams to score at 5%. This projects as a cagey afternoon; the unders look the more solid side of the market.

Recent form: Troyes have taken 1 points from their last 1 (D), scoring 0 and conceding 0. Paris FC have 1 from 3 (DLL), scoring 2 and conceding 6.

Across the last 1 meetings, Troyes have won 0, Paris FC 0, with 1 drawn and 0.00 goals a game. Head-to-head is a small sample and the model treats it as context, not evidence.

  • Most likely scoreline: 0-0 at 57%
  • Expected goals: 0.27 - 0.29
  • Clean sheet chance: Troyes 75%, Paris FC 77%
  • Paris FC rate materially stronger in attack
  • Model confidence is backed by 17/100 data quality
  • One or both clubs have too few completed matches in the sample for a reliable rating.

Match result

1X2
Troyes5.3518.7%
Draw1.6461.0%
Paris FC4.9320.3%

Odds shown are the model's fair price — what the bet would be worth with no bookmaker margin attached.

Goals

0.55 expected

Home xG

0.27

Away xG

0.29

Total

0.55

Over 0.5
43%
Over 1.5
10%
Over 2.5
2%
Over 3.5
0%
Over 4.5
0%

Both teams to score

BTTS

5%

Yes

95%

No

Troyes clean sheet

75%

Paris clean sheet

77%

Double chance

Two outcomes covered
1XTroyes or Draw1.2580%
X2Paris or Draw1.2381%
12Either team2.5739%

Correct score

Most likely scorelines
  1. 0-0
    57.0%
  2. 0-1
    17.0%
  3. 1-0
    15.8%
  4. 1-1
    4.0%
  5. 0-2
    2.4%
  6. 2-0
    2.0%
  7. 1-2
    0.6%
  8. 2-1
    0.6%
  9. 0-3
    0.2%
  10. 3-0
    0.2%

Correct score is a long shot by nature — even the likeliest scoreline here is well under evens.

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Recent form

Most recent first
Troyes1 pts / 3
D
0 scored0 conceded0% BTTS1 clean sheets
Paris FC1 pts / 9
DLL
2 scored6 conceded33% BTTS1 clean sheets

Head to head

Last 1 meetings

0

Troyes

1

Draws

0

Paris

  • 22 Aug 26Troyes 0-0 Paris FC

Head-to-head is context, not evidence. Squads turn over, and five meetings is far too small a sample to move a probability on its own — the model treats it that way.