French Ligue 1· Round 1Tomorrow · 14:00 WAT
Angers
14:00
Stade Raymond Kopa
Lille
Match analysis
Model generatedHonours even: the draw is the single most likely result at 42%
The model projects 0.55 goals for Angers and 0.54 for Lille, giving 29% for the home win, 42% for the draw and 29% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 36 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
On goals, 1.09 expected in total puts over 2.5 at 10% and both teams to score at 17%. This projects as a cagey afternoon; the unders look the more solid side of the market.
Recent form: Angers have taken 3 points from their last 4 (LWLL), scoring 1 and conceding 4. Lille have 10 from 4 (WDWW), scoring 8 and conceding 3.
- Most likely scoreline: 0-0 at 33%
- Expected goals: 0.55 - 0.54
- Clean sheet chance: Angers 58%, Lille 58%
- Lille rate materially stronger in attack
- Outcome spread is near-uniform — this is a genuinely open match
Match result
1X2Odds shown are the model's fair price — what the bet would be worth with no bookmaker margin attached.
Goals
1.09 expectedHome xG
0.55
Away xG
0.54
Total
1.09
Both teams to score
BTTS17%
Yes
83%
No
Angers clean sheet
Lille clean sheet
Double chance
Two outcomes coveredCorrect score
Most likely scorelines- 0-032.6%
- 1-019.5%
- 0-119.2%
- 1-19.0%
- 2-05.1%
- 0-24.9%
- 2-12.8%
- 1-22.7%
- 3-00.9%
- 0-30.9%
Correct score is a long shot by nature — even the likeliest scoreline here is well under evens.
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Previous meetingsNo previous meetings found in the available data.