BetriX
French Ligue 2· Round 3Full time

Saint-Étienne

4-0

Stade Geoffroy-Guichard

Grenoble

Match analysis

Model generated

Not enough history to call Saint-Étienne vs Grenoble

The model projects 2.08 goals for Saint-Étienne and 0.51 for Grenoble, giving 74% for the home win, 17% for the draw and 8% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 45 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

On goals, 2.59 expected in total puts over 2.5 at 48% and both teams to score at 35%. That is close enough to a coin flip that the goals markets offer little edge either way.

Recent form: Saint-Étienne have taken 3 points from their last 1 (W), scoring 3 and conceding 0. Grenoble have 5 from 5 (DLDLW), scoring 6 and conceding 8.

Across the last 1 meetings, Saint-Étienne have won 1, Grenoble 0, with 0 drawn and 4.00 goals a game. Head-to-head is a small sample and the model treats it as context, not evidence.

  • Most likely scoreline: 2-0 at 16%
  • Expected goals: 2.08 - 0.51
  • Clean sheet chance: Saint-Étienne 60%, Grenoble 13%
  • Saint-Étienne rate materially stronger in attack
  • Model confidence is backed by 24/100 data quality
  • One or both clubs have too few completed matches in the sample for a reliable rating.

Match result

1X2
Saint-Étienne1.3474.4%
Draw5.7917.3%
Grenoble12.068.3%

Odds shown are the model's fair price — what the bet would be worth with no bookmaker margin attached.

Goals

2.59 expected

Home xG

2.08

Away xG

0.51

Total

2.59

Over 0.5
93%
Over 1.5
73%
Over 2.5
48%
Over 3.5
26%
Over 4.5
12%

Both teams to score

BTTS

35%

Yes

65%

No

Saint-Étienne clean sheet

60%

Grenoble clean sheet

13%

Double chance

Two outcomes covered
1XSaint-Étienne or Draw1.0992%
X2Grenoble or Draw3.9126%
12Either team1.2183%

Correct score

Most likely scorelines
  1. 2-0
    16.1%
  2. 1-0
    15.9%
  3. 3-0
    11.2%
  4. 2-1
    8.3%
  5. 1-1
    7.7%
  6. 0-0
    7.2%
  7. 4-0
    5.8%
  8. 3-1
    5.8%
  9. 0-1
    4.2%
  10. 4-1
    3.0%

Correct score is a long shot by nature — even the likeliest scoreline here is well under evens.

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Recent form

Most recent first
Saint-Étienne3 pts / 3
W
3 scored0 conceded0% BTTS1 clean sheets
Grenoble5 pts / 15
DLDLW
6 scored8 conceded80% BTTS1 clean sheets

Head to head

Last 1 meetings

1

Saint-Étienne

0

Draws

0

Grenoble

  • 22 Aug 26Saint-Étienne 4-0 Grenoble

Head-to-head is context, not evidence. Squads turn over, and five meetings is far too small a sample to move a probability on its own — the model treats it that way.