BetriX
Argentinian Primera C· Round 25Full time

Justo José de Urquiza

2-1

Estadio Ramón Roque Martín

Argentino de Rosario

Match analysis

Model generated

Not enough history to call Justo José de Urquiza vs Argentino de Rosario

The model projects 0.69 goals for Justo José de Urquiza and 0.97 for Argentino de Rosario, giving 26% for the home win, 31% for the draw and 42% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 15 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

On goals, 1.66 expected in total puts over 2.5 at 23% and both teams to score at 30%. This projects as a cagey afternoon; the unders look the more solid side of the market.

Recent form: Justo José de Urquiza have taken 0 points from their last 1 (L), scoring 0 and conceding 2. Argentino de Rosario have 1 from 2 (DL), scoring 2 and conceding 3.

Across the last 1 meetings, Justo José de Urquiza have won 1, Argentino de Rosario 0, with 0 drawn and 3.00 goals a game. Head-to-head is a small sample and the model treats it as context, not evidence.

  • Most likely scoreline: 0-1 at 20%
  • Expected goals: 0.69 - 0.97
  • Clean sheet chance: Justo José de Urquiza 38%, Argentino de Rosario 50%
  • Argentino de Rosario rate materially stronger in attack
  • Outcome spread is near-uniform — this is a genuinely open match
  • One or both clubs have too few completed matches in the sample for a reliable rating.

Match result

1X2
Justo José de Urquiza3.8126.2%
Draw3.1831.5%
Argentino de Rosario2.3642.3%

Odds shown are the model's fair price — what the bet would be worth with no bookmaker margin attached.

Goals

1.66 expected

Home xG

0.69

Away xG

0.97

Total

1.66

Over 0.5
82%
Over 1.5
48%
Over 2.5
23%
Over 3.5
9%
Over 4.5
3%

Both teams to score

BTTS

30%

Yes

70%

No

Justo José de Urquiza clean sheet

38%

Argentino de Rosario clean sheet

50%

Double chance

Two outcomes covered
1XJusto José de Urquiza or Draw1.7358%
X2Argentino de Rosario or Draw1.3674%
12Either team1.4669%

Correct score

Most likely scorelines
  1. 0-1
    19.8%
  2. 0-0
    17.7%
  3. 1-0
    14.3%
  4. 1-1
    11.4%
  5. 0-2
    9.0%
  6. 1-2
    6.2%
  7. 2-0
    4.5%
  8. 2-1
    4.4%
  9. 0-3
    2.9%
  10. 2-2
    2.1%

Correct score is a long shot by nature — even the likeliest scoreline here is well under evens.

This is a Weekend Pass feature.

Unlock Weekend Pass

Recent form

Most recent first
Justo José de Urquiza0 pts / 3
L
0 scored2 conceded0% BTTS0 clean sheets
Argentino de Rosario1 pts / 6
DL
2 scored3 conceded50% BTTS0 clean sheets

Head to head

Last 1 meetings

1

Justo José de Urquiza

0

Draws

0

Argentino de Rosario

  • 22 Aug 26Justo José de Urquiza 2-1 Argentino de Rosario

Head-to-head is context, not evidence. Squads turn over, and five meetings is far too small a sample to move a probability on its own — the model treats it that way.