BetriX
Argentinian Primera B Nacional· Round 26LIVE

Nueva Chicago

0-1

Estadio Nueva Chicago

Atlanta

Match analysis

Model generated

Not enough history to call Nueva Chicago vs Atlanta

The model projects 0.67 goals for Nueva Chicago and 0.61 for Atlanta, giving 29% for the home win, 45% for the draw and 26% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 30 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

On goals, 1.29 expected in total puts over 2.5 at 14% and both teams to score at 25%. This projects as a cagey afternoon; the unders look the more solid side of the market.

Recent form: Nueva Chicago have taken 3 points from their last 2 (WL), scoring 1 and conceding 2. Atlanta have 0 from 0 (), scoring 0 and conceding 0.

Across the last 1 meetings, Nueva Chicago have won 0, Atlanta 1, with 0 drawn and 1.00 goals a game. Head-to-head is a small sample and the model treats it as context, not evidence.

  • Most likely scoreline: 0-0 at 30%
  • Expected goals: 0.67 - 0.61
  • Clean sheet chance: Nueva Chicago 54%, Atlanta 51%
  • Outcome spread is near-uniform — this is a genuinely open match
  • One or both clubs have too few completed matches in the sample for a reliable rating.

Match result

1X2
Nueva Chicago3.3929.5%
Draw2.2344.8%
Atlanta3.8925.7%

Odds shown are the model's fair price — what the bet would be worth with no bookmaker margin attached.

Goals

1.29 expected

Home xG

0.67

Away xG

0.61

Total

1.29

Over 0.5
70%
Over 1.5
39%
Over 2.5
14%
Over 3.5
4%
Over 4.5
1%

Both teams to score

BTTS

25%

Yes

75%

No

Nueva Chicago clean sheet

54%

Atlanta clean sheet

51%

Double chance

Two outcomes covered
1XNueva Chicago or Draw1.3574%
X2Atlanta or Draw1.4271%
12Either team1.8155%

Correct score

Most likely scorelines
  1. 0-0
    29.9%
  2. 1-0
    16.3%
  3. 0-1
    14.6%
  4. 1-1
    13.7%
  5. 2-0
    6.3%
  6. 0-2
    5.2%
  7. 2-1
    3.8%
  8. 1-2
    3.5%
  9. 3-0
    1.4%
  10. 2-2
    1.2%

Correct score is a long shot by nature — even the likeliest scoreline here is well under evens.

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Recent form

Most recent first
Nueva Chicago3 pts / 6
WL
1 scored2 conceded0% BTTS1 clean sheets
Atlanta0 pts / 0

No completed matches in the sample.

Head to head

Last 1 meetings

0

Nueva Chicago

0

Draws

1

Atlanta

  • 22 Aug 26Nueva Chicago 0-1 Atlanta

Head-to-head is context, not evidence. Squads turn over, and five meetings is far too small a sample to move a probability on its own — the model treats it that way.