Defensores de Belgrano
0-1
Almirante Brown
Match analysis
Model generatedNot enough history to call Defensores de Belgrano vs Almirante Brown
The model projects 0.49 goals for Defensores de Belgrano and 0.41 for Almirante Brown, giving 27% for the home win, 53% for the draw and 21% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 30 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
On goals, 0.90 expected in total puts over 2.5 at 6% and both teams to score at 15%. This projects as a cagey afternoon; the unders look the more solid side of the market.
Recent form: Defensores de Belgrano have taken 2 points from their last 2 (DD), scoring 1 and conceding 1. Almirante Brown have 2 from 2 (DD), scoring 1 and conceding 1.
- Most likely scoreline: 0-0 at 42%
- Expected goals: 0.49 - 0.41
- Clean sheet chance: Defensores de Belgrano 67%, Almirante Brown 61%
- Defensores de Belgrano rate materially stronger in attack
- Model confidence is backed by 16/100 data quality
- One or both clubs have too few completed matches in the sample for a reliable rating.
Match result
1X2Odds shown are the model's fair price — what the bet would be worth with no bookmaker margin attached.
Goals
0.90 expectedHome xG
0.49
Away xG
0.41
Total
0.90
Both teams to score
BTTS15%
Yes
85%
No
Defensores de Belgrano clean sheet
Almirante Brown clean sheet
Double chance
Two outcomes coveredCorrect score
Most likely scorelines- 0-042.5%
- 1-018.4%
- 0-114.9%
- 1-19.7%
- 2-04.9%
- 0-23.4%
- 2-12.0%
- 1-21.6%
- 3-00.8%
- 0-30.5%
Correct score is a long shot by nature — even the likeliest scoreline here is well under evens.
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Most recent firstHead to head
Previous meetingsNo previous meetings found in the available data.