Brazilian Serie A· Round 24Today · 22:30 WAT
Internacional
22:30
Estádio Beira-Rio
Atlético Mineiro
Match analysis
Model generatedInternacional favoured at 46%, in a tight game
The model projects 1.18 goals for Internacional and 0.67 for Atlético Mineiro, giving 46% for the home win, 36% for the draw and 19% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 45 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
On goals, 1.85 expected in total puts over 2.5 at 28% and both teams to score at 36%. This projects as a cagey afternoon; the unders look the more solid side of the market.
Recent form: Internacional have taken 8 points from their last 5 (DLDWW), scoring 5 and conceding 4. Atlético Mineiro have 1 from 3 (LDL), scoring 3 and conceding 5.
- Most likely scoreline: 0-0 at 18%
- Expected goals: 1.18 - 0.67
- Clean sheet chance: Internacional 51%, Atlético Mineiro 31%
- Atlético Mineiro rate materially stronger in attack
- Model confidence is backed by 29/100 data quality
Match result
1X2Odds shown are the model's fair price — what the bet would be worth with no bookmaker margin attached.
Goals
1.85 expectedHome xG
1.18
Away xG
0.67
Total
1.85
Both teams to score
BTTS36%
Yes
64%
No
Internacional clean sheet
Atlético Mineiro clean sheet
Double chance
Two outcomes coveredCorrect score
Most likely scorelines- 0-018.2%
- 1-016.0%
- 1-114.9%
- 2-010.9%
- 0-18.0%
- 2-17.3%
- 3-04.3%
- 1-24.2%
- 0-23.5%
- 3-12.9%
Correct score is a long shot by nature — even the likeliest scoreline here is well under evens.
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Previous meetingsNo previous meetings found in the available data.