Brazilian Serie A· Round 24Tue, 25 Aug · 00:00 WAT
Botafogo
00:00
Estádio Olímpico Nilton Santos
Athletico Paranaense
Match analysis
Model generatedNot enough history to call Botafogo vs Athletico Paranaense
The model projects 1.07 goals for Botafogo and 0.46 for Athletico Paranaense, giving 48% for the home win, 38% for the draw and 14% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 45 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
On goals, 1.54 expected in total puts over 2.5 at 20% and both teams to score at 27%. This projects as a cagey afternoon; the unders look the more solid side of the market.
Recent form: Botafogo have taken 7 points from their last 3 (WWD), scoring 6 and conceding 0. Athletico Paranaense have 3 from 1 (W), scoring 1 and conceding 0.
- Most likely scoreline: 0-0 at 24%
- Expected goals: 1.07 - 0.46
- Clean sheet chance: Botafogo 63%, Athletico Paranaense 34%
- The two attacks rate close to level
- Model confidence is backed by 19/100 data quality
- One or both clubs have too few completed matches in the sample for a reliable rating.
Match result
1X2Odds shown are the model's fair price — what the bet would be worth with no bookmaker margin attached.
Goals
1.54 expectedHome xG
1.07
Away xG
0.46
Total
1.54
Both teams to score
BTTS27%
Yes
73%
No
Botafogo clean sheet
Athletico Paranaense clean sheet
Double chance
Two outcomes coveredCorrect score
Most likely scorelines- 0-023.7%
- 1-021.0%
- 1-112.8%
- 2-012.4%
- 0-17.8%
- 2-15.7%
- 3-04.4%
- 1-22.5%
- 0-22.3%
- 3-12.1%
Correct score is a long shot by nature — even the likeliest scoreline here is well under evens.
This is a Weekend Pass feature.
Unlock Weekend PassRecent form
Most recent firstHead to head
Previous meetingsNo previous meetings found in the available data.