Argentinian Primera Division· Round 6Mon, 24 Aug · 23:00 WAT
Tigre
23:00
Estadio José Dellagiovanna
Central Córdoba de Santiago del Estero
Match analysis
Model generatedTigre favoured at 75%, in a tight game
The model projects 1.78 goals for Tigre and 0.32 for Central Córdoba de Santiago del Estero, giving 75% for the home win, 19% for the draw and 7% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 45 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
On goals, 2.10 expected in total puts over 2.5 at 35% and both teams to score at 22%. This projects as a cagey afternoon; the unders look the more solid side of the market.
Recent form: Tigre have taken 6 points from their last 3 (WWL), scoring 5 and conceding 1. Central Córdoba de Santiago del Estero have 3 from 3 (LWL), scoring 1 and conceding 4.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-0 at 23%
- Expected goals: 1.78 - 0.32
- Clean sheet chance: Tigre 73%, Central Córdoba de Santiago del Estero 17%
- Tigre rate materially stronger in attack
- Model confidence is backed by 24/100 data quality
Match result
1X2Odds shown are the model's fair price — what the bet would be worth with no bookmaker margin attached.
Goals
2.10 expectedHome xG
1.78
Away xG
0.32
Total
2.10
Both teams to score
BTTS22%
Yes
78%
No
Tigre clean sheet
Central Córdoba de Santiago del Estero clean sheet
Double chance
Two outcomes coveredCorrect score
Most likely scorelines- 1-022.5%
- 2-019.4%
- 3-011.6%
- 0-011.5%
- 1-16.2%
- 2-16.2%
- 4-05.2%
- 0-14.6%
- 3-13.7%
- 5-01.8%
Correct score is a long shot by nature — even the likeliest scoreline here is well under evens.
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Previous meetingsNo previous meetings found in the available data.