Argentinian Primera Division· Round 6Tue, 25 Aug · 01:15 WAT
Talleres de Córdoba
01:15
Estadio Mario Alberto Kempes
Rosario Central
Match analysis
Model generatedTalleres de Córdoba favoured at 52%, in a middling game
The model projects 1.66 goals for Talleres de Córdoba and 1.10 for Rosario Central, giving 52% for the home win, 22% for the draw and 26% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 45 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
On goals, 2.76 expected in total puts over 2.5 at 52% and both teams to score at 53%. That is close enough to a coin flip that the goals markets offer little edge either way.
Recent form: Talleres de Córdoba have taken 6 points from their last 3 (WLW), scoring 5 and conceding 3. Rosario Central have 3 from 3 (LWL), scoring 6 and conceding 5.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-0 at 12%
- Expected goals: 1.66 - 1.10
- Clean sheet chance: Talleres de Córdoba 33%, Rosario Central 19%
- The two attacks rate close to level
- Model confidence is backed by 24/100 data quality
Match result
1X2Odds shown are the model's fair price — what the bet would be worth with no bookmaker margin attached.
Goals
2.76 expectedHome xG
1.66
Away xG
1.10
Total
2.76
Both teams to score
BTTS53%
Yes
47%
No
Talleres de Córdoba clean sheet
Rosario Central clean sheet
Double chance
Two outcomes coveredCorrect score
Most likely scorelines- 1-011.7%
- 1-110.4%
- 2-19.6%
- 2-08.7%
- 0-18.1%
- 1-26.3%
- 3-15.3%
- 2-25.3%
- 0-05.2%
- 3-04.8%
Correct score is a long shot by nature — even the likeliest scoreline here is well under evens.
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Previous meetingsNo previous meetings found in the available data.