Argentinian Primera Division· Round 6Mon, 24 Aug · 01:30 WAT
Racing Club
01:30
Estadio Presidente Perón
Boca Juniors
Match analysis
Model generatedBoca Juniors favoured at 49%, in a tight game
The model projects 0.80 goals for Racing Club and 1.28 for Boca Juniors, giving 24% for the home win, 26% for the draw and 49% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 45 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
On goals, 2.08 expected in total puts over 2.5 at 34% and both teams to score at 38%. This projects as a cagey afternoon; the unders look the more solid side of the market.
Recent form: Racing Club have taken 4 points from their last 3 (LWD), scoring 8 and conceding 7. Boca Juniors have 4 from 3 (WDL), scoring 1 and conceding 1.
- Most likely scoreline: 0-1 at 17%
- Expected goals: 0.80 - 1.28
- Clean sheet chance: Racing Club 28%, Boca Juniors 45%
- Racing Club rate materially stronger in attack
- Outcome spread is near-uniform — this is a genuinely open match
Match result
1X2Odds shown are the model's fair price — what the bet would be worth with no bookmaker margin attached.
Goals
2.08 expectedHome xG
0.80
Away xG
1.28
Total
2.08
Both teams to score
BTTS38%
Yes
62%
No
Racing Club clean sheet
Boca Juniors clean sheet
Double chance
Two outcomes coveredCorrect score
Most likely scorelines- 0-117.3%
- 1-111.5%
- 0-011.2%
- 1-011.2%
- 0-210.3%
- 1-28.2%
- 2-15.1%
- 0-34.4%
- 2-04.0%
- 1-33.5%
Correct score is a long shot by nature — even the likeliest scoreline here is well under evens.
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Previous meetingsNo previous meetings found in the available data.