Argentinian Primera Division· Round 6Tue, 25 Aug · 01:15 WAT
Lanús
01:15
Estadio Ciudad de Lanús - Néstor Díaz Pérez
Argentinos Juniors
Match analysis
Model generatedArgentinos Juniors favoured at 44%, in a middling game
The model projects 0.99 goals for Lanús and 1.25 for Argentinos Juniors, giving 31% for the home win, 26% for the draw and 44% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 45 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
On goals, 2.23 expected in total puts over 2.5 at 39% and both teams to score at 43%. This projects as a cagey afternoon; the unders look the more solid side of the market.
Recent form: Lanús have taken 3 points from their last 3 (WLL), scoring 3 and conceding 6. Argentinos Juniors have 7 from 3 (WDW), scoring 4 and conceding 2.
- Most likely scoreline: 0-1 at 15%
- Expected goals: 0.99 - 1.25
- Clean sheet chance: Lanús 29%, Argentinos Juniors 37%
- Lanús rate materially stronger in attack
- Outcome spread is near-uniform — this is a genuinely open match
Match result
1X2Odds shown are the model's fair price — what the bet would be worth with no bookmaker margin attached.
Goals
2.23 expectedHome xG
0.99
Away xG
1.25
Total
2.23
Both teams to score
BTTS43%
Yes
57%
No
Lanús clean sheet
Argentinos Juniors clean sheet
Double chance
Two outcomes coveredCorrect score
Most likely scorelines- 0-114.7%
- 1-011.9%
- 1-111.9%
- 0-09.4%
- 0-28.3%
- 1-28.2%
- 2-16.5%
- 2-05.2%
- 2-24.0%
- 0-33.5%
Correct score is a long shot by nature — even the likeliest scoreline here is well under evens.
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Previous meetingsNo previous meetings found in the available data.