Atlético Tucumán
0-0
Instituto
Match analysis
Model generatedNot enough history to call Atlético Tucumán vs Instituto
The model projects 1.19 goals for Atlético Tucumán and 0.72 for Instituto, giving 48% for the home win, 28% for the draw and 24% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 45 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
On goals, 1.92 expected in total puts over 2.5 at 30% and both teams to score at 35%. This projects as a cagey afternoon; the unders look the more solid side of the market.
Recent form: Atlético Tucumán have taken 6 points from their last 3 (LWW), scoring 3 and conceding 2. Instituto have 3 from 2 (LW), scoring 3 and conceding 1.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-0 at 19%
- Expected goals: 1.19 - 0.72
- Clean sheet chance: Atlético Tucumán 48%, Instituto 30%
- Atlético Tucumán rate materially stronger in attack
- Outcome spread is near-uniform — this is a genuinely open match
- One or both clubs have too few completed matches in the sample for a reliable rating.
Match result
1X2Odds shown are the model's fair price — what the bet would be worth with no bookmaker margin attached.
Goals
1.92 expectedHome xG
1.19
Away xG
0.72
Total
1.92
Both teams to score
BTTS35%
Yes
65%
No
Atlético Tucumán clean sheet
Instituto clean sheet
Double chance
Two outcomes coveredCorrect score
Most likely scorelines- 1-018.8%
- 0-013.4%
- 0-111.9%
- 1-111.4%
- 2-010.5%
- 2-17.6%
- 1-24.6%
- 3-04.2%
- 0-23.9%
- 3-13.0%
Correct score is a long shot by nature — even the likeliest scoreline here is well under evens.
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Most recent firstHead to head
Previous meetingsNo previous meetings found in the available data.