American USL Championship· Round 24Tomorrow · 03:00 WAT
Orange County SC
03:00
Championship Soccer Stadium
FC Tulsa
Match analysis
Model generatedNot enough history to call Orange County SC vs FC Tulsa
The model projects 1.99 goals for Orange County SC and 0.67 for FC Tulsa, giving 70% for the home win, 18% for the draw and 12% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 45 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
On goals, 2.66 expected in total puts over 2.5 at 50% and both teams to score at 41%. That is close enough to a coin flip that the goals markets offer little edge either way.
Recent form: Orange County SC have taken 8 points from their last 4 (DWWD), scoring 9 and conceding 5. FC Tulsa have 3 from 2 (LW), scoring 1 and conceding 2.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-0 at 15%
- Expected goals: 1.99 - 0.67
- Clean sheet chance: Orange County SC 51%, FC Tulsa 14%
- Orange County SC rate materially stronger in attack
- Model confidence is backed by 24/100 data quality
- One or both clubs have too few completed matches in the sample for a reliable rating.
Match result
1X2Odds shown are the model's fair price — what the bet would be worth with no bookmaker margin attached.
Goals
2.66 expectedHome xG
1.99
Away xG
0.67
Total
2.66
Both teams to score
BTTS41%
Yes
59%
No
Orange County clean sheet
Tulsa clean sheet
Double chance
Two outcomes coveredCorrect score
Most likely scorelines- 1-014.9%
- 2-013.9%
- 2-19.3%
- 3-09.2%
- 1-18.4%
- 3-16.2%
- 0-06.1%
- 0-15.6%
- 4-04.6%
- 1-23.1%
Correct score is a long shot by nature — even the likeliest scoreline here is well under evens.
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Most recent firstHead to head
Previous meetingsNo previous meetings found in the available data.