American USL Championship· Round 24Tomorrow · 00:00 WAT
Detroit City FC
00:00
Keyworth Stadium
Tampa Bay Rowdies
Match analysis
Model generatedDetroit City FC favoured at 67%, in a tight game
The model projects 1.57 goals for Detroit City FC and 0.43 for Tampa Bay Rowdies, giving 67% for the home win, 23% for the draw and 11% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 45 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
On goals, 2.00 expected in total puts over 2.5 at 32% and both teams to score at 27%. This projects as a cagey afternoon; the unders look the more solid side of the market.
Recent form: Detroit City FC have taken 9 points from their last 3 (WWW), scoring 7 and conceding 1. Tampa Bay Rowdies have 4 from 3 (WLD), scoring 3 and conceding 3.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-0 at 22%
- Expected goals: 1.57 - 0.43
- Clean sheet chance: Detroit City FC 65%, Tampa Bay Rowdies 21%
- Detroit City FC rate materially stronger in attack
- Model confidence is backed by 24/100 data quality
Match result
1X2Odds shown are the model's fair price — what the bet would be worth with no bookmaker margin attached.
Goals
2.00 expectedHome xG
1.57
Away xG
0.43
Total
2.00
Both teams to score
BTTS27%
Yes
73%
No
Detroit City clean sheet
Tampa Bay Rowdies clean sheet
Double chance
Two outcomes coveredCorrect score
Most likely scorelines- 1-022.1%
- 2-016.6%
- 0-012.6%
- 3-08.7%
- 1-18.2%
- 2-17.2%
- 0-16.8%
- 3-13.8%
- 4-03.4%
- 1-22.0%
Correct score is a long shot by nature — even the likeliest scoreline here is well under evens.
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Most recent firstHead to head
Previous meetingsNo previous meetings found in the available data.