Colorado Springs Switchbacks
02:00
Weidner Field
El Paso Locomotive
Match analysis
Model generatedColorado Springs Switchbacks favoured at 64%, in a high-scoring game
The model projects 2.63 goals for Colorado Springs Switchbacks and 1.40 for El Paso Locomotive, giving 64% for the home win, 16% for the draw and 19% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 45 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
On goals, 4.03 expected in total puts over 2.5 at 77% and both teams to score at 69%. The shape of the game favours backing goals rather than sitting on a result.
Recent form: Colorado Springs Switchbacks have taken 5 points from their last 4 (WDLD), scoring 8 and conceding 8. El Paso Locomotive have 3 from 5 (DDLDL), scoring 5 and conceding 7.
Across the last 1 meetings, Colorado Springs Switchbacks have won 1, El Paso Locomotive 0, with 0 drawn and 3.00 goals a game. Head-to-head is a small sample and the model treats it as context, not evidence.
- Most likely scoreline: 2-1 at 9%
- Expected goals: 2.63 - 1.40
- Clean sheet chance: Colorado Springs Switchbacks 25%, El Paso Locomotive 7%
- Colorado Springs Switchbacks rate materially stronger in attack
- Model confidence is backed by 32/100 data quality
Match result
1X2Odds shown are the model's fair price — what the bet would be worth with no bookmaker margin attached.
Goals
4.03 expectedHome xG
2.63
Away xG
1.40
Total
4.03
Both teams to score
BTTS69%
Yes
31%
No
Colorado Springs Switchbacks clean sheet
El Paso Locomotive clean sheet
Double chance
Two outcomes coveredCorrect score
Most likely scorelines- 2-18.6%
- 3-17.5%
- 2-06.2%
- 2-26.0%
- 1-15.9%
- 3-05.4%
- 1-05.3%
- 3-25.3%
- 4-15.0%
- 1-24.6%
Correct score is a long shot by nature — even the likeliest scoreline here is well under evens.
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Most recent firstHead to head
Last 1 meetings1
Colorado Springs Switchbacks
0
Draws
0
El Paso Locomotive
- 7 Jun 26Colorado Springs Switchbacks 2-1 El Paso Locomotive
Head-to-head is context, not evidence. Squads turn over, and five meetings is far too small a sample to move a probability on its own — the model treats it that way.