American USL Championship· Round 24Tomorrow · 00:30 WAT
Charleston Battery
00:30
Patriots Point Soccer Complex
Miami FC
Match analysis
Model generatedCharleston Battery favoured at 70%, in a high-scoring game
The model projects 2.21 goals for Charleston Battery and 0.81 for Miami FC, giving 70% for the home win, 17% for the draw and 13% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 45 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
On goals, 3.01 expected in total puts over 2.5 at 58% and both teams to score at 48%. The shape of the game favours backing goals rather than sitting on a result.
Recent form: Charleston Battery have taken 7 points from their last 4 (WWLD), scoring 5 and conceding 3. Miami FC have 3 from 5 (LLLLW), scoring 4 and conceding 10.
- Most likely scoreline: 2-0 at 12%
- Expected goals: 2.21 - 0.81
- Clean sheet chance: Charleston Battery 45%, Miami FC 11%
- Charleston Battery rate materially stronger in attack
- Model confidence is backed by 32/100 data quality
Match result
1X2Odds shown are the model's fair price — what the bet would be worth with no bookmaker margin attached.
Goals
3.01 expectedHome xG
2.21
Away xG
0.81
Total
3.01
Both teams to score
BTTS48%
Yes
52%
No
Charleston Battery clean sheet
Miami clean sheet
Double chance
Two outcomes coveredCorrect score
Most likely scorelines- 2-011.9%
- 1-011.7%
- 2-19.7%
- 3-08.8%
- 1-17.9%
- 3-17.1%
- 0-14.8%
- 4-04.8%
- 0-04.0%
- 4-13.9%
Correct score is a long shot by nature — even the likeliest scoreline here is well under evens.
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Most recent firstHead to head
Previous meetingsNo previous meetings found in the available data.