BetriX
Bundesliga· Matchday 1Sat, 29 Aug · 14:30 WAT

1. FC Union Berlin

14:30

Eintracht Frankfurt

Model's strongest readBoth Teams To Score65.7% · fair 1.5250/100 confidence

Match analysis

Model generated

1. FC Union Berlin favoured at 40%, in a high-scoring game

The model projects 1.70 goals for 1. FC Union Berlin and 1.62 for Eintracht Frankfurt, giving 40% for the home win, 23% for the draw and 37% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 320 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

On goals, 3.33 expected in total puts over 2.5 at 65% and both teams to score at 66%. The shape of the game favours backing goals rather than sitting on a result.

Recent form: 1. FC Union Berlin have taken 7 points from their last 6 (WWDLLL), scoring 12 and conceding 11. Eintracht Frankfurt have 5 from 6 (DLLDLW), scoring 9 and conceding 12.

Across the last 9 meetings, 1. FC Union Berlin have won 4, Eintracht Frankfurt 2, with 3 drawn and 2.56 goals a game. Head-to-head is a small sample and the model treats it as context, not evidence.

  • Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 10%
  • Expected goals: 1.70 - 1.62
  • Clean sheet chance: 1. FC Union Berlin 20%, Eintracht Frankfurt 18%
  • Eintracht Frankfurt rate materially stronger in attack
  • Outcome spread is near-uniform — this is a genuinely open match

Match result

1X2
1. FC Union Berlin2.4940.2%
Draw4.3323.1%
Eintracht Frankfurt2.7236.7%

Odds shown are the model's fair price — what the bet would be worth with no bookmaker margin attached.

Goals

3.33 expected

Home xG

1.70

Away xG

1.62

Total

3.33

Over 0.5
96%
Over 1.5
85%
Over 2.5
65%
Over 3.5
43%
Over 4.5
24%

Both teams to score

BTTS

66%

Yes

34%

No

Union Berlin clean sheet

20%

Frankfurt clean sheet

18%

Double chance

Two outcomes covered
1XUnion Berlin or Draw1.5863%
X2Frankfurt or Draw1.6760%
12Either team1.3077%

Correct score

Most likely scorelines
  1. 1-1
    10.0%
  2. 2-1
    8.5%
  3. 1-2
    8.1%
  4. 2-2
    6.9%
  5. 1-0
    6.0%
  6. 0-1
    5.7%
  7. 2-0
    5.2%
  8. 3-1
    4.8%
  9. 0-2
    4.7%
  10. 1-3
    4.4%

Correct score is a long shot by nature — even the likeliest scoreline here is well under evens.

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Recent form

Most recent first
1. FC Union Berlin7 pts / 18
WWDLLL
12 scored11 conceded83% BTTS1 clean sheets
Eintracht Frankfurt5 pts / 18
DLLDLW
9 scored12 conceded100% BTTS0 clean sheets

Head to head

Last 9 meetings

4

Union Berlin

3

Draws

2

Frankfurt

  • 6 Feb 261. FC Union Berlin 1-1 Eintracht Frankfurt
  • 21 Sept 25Eintracht Frankfurt 3-4 1. FC Union Berlin
  • 9 Mar 25Eintracht Frankfurt 1-2 1. FC Union Berlin
  • 27 Oct 241. FC Union Berlin 1-1 Eintracht Frankfurt
  • 30 Mar 24Eintracht Frankfurt 0-0 1. FC Union Berlin

Head-to-head is context, not evidence. Squads turn over, and five meetings is far too small a sample to move a probability on its own — the model treats it that way.