BetriX
Primera Division· Matchday 2LIVE

RCD Espanyol de Barcelona

1-1

Real Madrid CF

Match analysis

Model generated

Not enough history to call RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs Real Madrid CF

The model projects 1.05 goals for RCD Espanyol de Barcelona and 0.63 for Real Madrid CF, giving 43% for the home win, 38% for the draw and 19% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 49 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

On goals, 1.67 expected in total puts over 2.5 at 24% and both teams to score at 33%. This projects as a cagey afternoon; the unders look the more solid side of the market.

Recent form: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona have taken 3 points from their last 1 (W), scoring 3 and conceding 0. Real Madrid CF have 5 from 3 (DWD), scoring 3 and conceding 2.

Across the last 9 meetings, RCD Espanyol de Barcelona have won 2, Real Madrid CF 7, with 0 drawn and 2.89 goals a game. Head-to-head is a small sample and the model treats it as context, not evidence.

  • Most likely scoreline: 0-0 at 21%
  • Expected goals: 1.05 - 0.63
  • Clean sheet chance: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona 53%, Real Madrid CF 35%
  • The two attacks rate close to level
  • Outcome spread is near-uniform — this is a genuinely open match
  • One or both clubs have too few completed matches in the sample for a reliable rating.

Match result

1X2
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona2.3442.7%
Draw2.6238.2%
Real Madrid CF5.2119.2%

Odds shown are the model's fair price — what the bet would be worth with no bookmaker margin attached.

Goals

1.67 expected

Home xG

1.05

Away xG

0.63

Total

1.67

Over 0.5
79%
Over 1.5
52%
Over 2.5
24%
Over 3.5
9%
Over 4.5
3%

Both teams to score

BTTS

33%

Yes

67%

No

Espanyol clean sheet

53%

Real Madrid clean sheet

35%

Double chance

Two outcomes covered
1XEspanyol or Draw1.2481%
X2Real Madrid or Draw1.7457%
12Either team1.6262%

Correct score

Most likely scorelines
  1. 0-0
    21.2%
  2. 1-0
    17.2%
  3. 1-1
    14.8%
  4. 2-0
    10.3%
  5. 0-1
    9.3%
  6. 2-1
    6.4%
  7. 1-2
    3.8%
  8. 0-2
    3.7%
  9. 3-0
    3.6%
  10. 3-1
    2.2%

Correct score is a long shot by nature — even the likeliest scoreline here is well under evens.

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Recent form

Most recent first
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona3 pts / 3
W
3 scored0 conceded0% BTTS1 clean sheets
Real Madrid CF5 pts / 9
DWD
3 scored2 conceded67% BTTS1 clean sheets

Head to head

Last 9 meetings

2

Espanyol

0

Draws

7

Real Madrid

  • 3 May 26RCD Espanyol de Barcelona 0-2 Real Madrid CF
  • 20 Sept 25Real Madrid CF 2-0 RCD Espanyol de Barcelona
  • 1 Feb 25RCD Espanyol de Barcelona 1-0 Real Madrid CF
  • 21 Sept 24Real Madrid CF 4-1 RCD Espanyol de Barcelona
  • 11 Mar 23Real Madrid CF 3-1 RCD Espanyol de Barcelona

Head-to-head is context, not evidence. Squads turn over, and five meetings is far too small a sample to move a probability on its own — the model treats it that way.