Primera Division· Matchday 2Mon, 24 Aug · 20:30 WAT
Málaga CF
20:30
RC Deportivo La Coruña
Match analysis
Model generatedNot enough history to call Málaga CF vs RC Deportivo La Coruña
The model projects 1.33 goals for Málaga CF and 1.00 for RC Deportivo La Coruña, giving 44% for the home win, 29% for the draw and 28% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 412 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
On goals, 2.33 expected in total puts over 2.5 at 41% and both teams to score at 47%. This projects as a cagey afternoon; the unders look the more solid side of the market.
Recent form: Málaga CF have taken 0 points from their last 1 (L), scoring 0 and conceding 2. RC Deportivo La Coruña have 1 from 1 (D), scoring 1 and conceding 1.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 13%
- Expected goals: 1.33 - 1.00
- Clean sheet chance: Málaga CF 37%, RC Deportivo La Coruña 26%
- The two attacks rate close to level
- Outcome spread is near-uniform — this is a genuinely open match
- One or both clubs have too few completed matches in the sample for a reliable rating.
Match result
1X2Odds shown are the model's fair price — what the bet would be worth with no bookmaker margin attached.
Goals
2.33 expectedHome xG
1.33
Away xG
1.00
Total
2.33
Both teams to score
BTTS47%
Yes
53%
No
Málaga clean sheet
Deportivo clean sheet
Double chance
Two outcomes coveredCorrect score
Most likely scorelines- 1-113.5%
- 1-012.4%
- 0-010.2%
- 0-19.2%
- 2-18.6%
- 2-08.6%
- 1-26.5%
- 0-24.9%
- 2-24.3%
- 3-13.8%
Correct score is a long shot by nature — even the likeliest scoreline here is well under evens.
This is a Weekend Pass feature.
Unlock Weekend PassRecent form
Most recent firstHead to head
Previous meetingsNo previous meetings found in the available data.