Championship· Matchday 5Sat, 5 Sept · 12:30 WAT
Lincoln City FC
12:30
Southampton FC
Match analysis
Model generatedNot enough history to call Lincoln City FC vs Southampton FC
The model projects 1.23 goals for Lincoln City FC and 1.93 for Southampton FC, giving 23% for the home win, 25% for the draw and 52% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 580 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
On goals, 3.16 expected in total puts over 2.5 at 61% and both teams to score at 62%. The shape of the game favours backing goals rather than sitting on a result.
Recent form: Lincoln City FC have taken 0 points from their last 2 (LL), scoring 2 and conceding 5. Southampton FC have 11 from 6 (WLWDWD), scoring 11 and conceding 7.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 12%
- Expected goals: 1.23 - 1.93
- Clean sheet chance: Lincoln City FC 15%, Southampton FC 29%
- Southampton FC rate materially stronger in attack
- Model confidence is backed by 75/100 data quality
- One or both clubs have too few completed matches in the sample for a reliable rating.
Match result
1X2Odds shown are the model's fair price — what the bet would be worth with no bookmaker margin attached.
Goals
3.16 expectedHome xG
1.23
Away xG
1.93
Total
3.16
Both teams to score
BTTS62%
Yes
38%
No
Lincoln City clean sheet
Southampton clean sheet
Double chance
Two outcomes coveredCorrect score
Most likely scorelines- 1-111.6%
- 1-29.7%
- 0-27.9%
- 0-16.7%
- 1-36.2%
- 2-16.2%
- 2-26.0%
- 0-05.8%
- 0-35.1%
- 2-33.8%
Correct score is a long shot by nature — even the likeliest scoreline here is well under evens.
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Most recent firstHead to head
Previous meetingsNo previous meetings found in the available data.