BetriX
Championship· Matchday 3Sat, 29 Aug · 15:00 WAT

Cardiff City FC

15:00

Sheffield United FC

Match analysis

Model generated

Not enough history to call Cardiff City FC vs Sheffield United FC

The model projects 1.41 goals for Cardiff City FC and 1.27 for Sheffield United FC, giving 38% for the home win, 29% for the draw and 32% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 580 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

On goals, 2.69 expected in total puts over 2.5 at 50% and both teams to score at 56%. That is close enough to a coin flip that the goals markets offer little edge either way.

Recent form: Cardiff City FC have taken 2 points from their last 2 (DD), scoring 3 and conceding 3. Sheffield United FC have 8 from 6 (DDWLLW), scoring 7 and conceding 7.

Across the last 6 meetings, Cardiff City FC have won 0, Sheffield United FC 6, with 0 drawn and 2.67 goals a game. Head-to-head is a small sample and the model treats it as context, not evidence.

  • Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 14%
  • Expected goals: 1.41 - 1.27
  • Clean sheet chance: Cardiff City FC 28%, Sheffield United FC 24%
  • The two attacks rate close to level
  • Outcome spread is near-uniform — this is a genuinely open match
  • One or both clubs have too few completed matches in the sample for a reliable rating.

Match result

1X2
Cardiff City FC2.6038.5%
Draw3.3929.5%
Sheffield United FC3.1232.0%

Odds shown are the model's fair price — what the bet would be worth with no bookmaker margin attached.

Goals

2.69 expected

Home xG

1.41

Away xG

1.27

Total

2.69

Over 0.5
91%
Over 1.5
77%
Over 2.5
50%
Over 3.5
28%
Over 4.5
14%

Both teams to score

BTTS

56%

Yes

44%

No

Cardiff clean sheet

28%

Sheffield Utd clean sheet

24%

Double chance

Two outcomes covered
1XCardiff or Draw1.4768%
X2Sheffield Utd or Draw1.6362%
12Either team1.4271%

Correct score

Most likely scorelines
  1. 1-1
    14.1%
  2. 2-1
    8.7%
  3. 0-0
    8.6%
  4. 1-2
    7.8%
  5. 1-0
    7.8%
  6. 0-1
    6.8%
  7. 2-0
    6.8%
  8. 0-2
    5.5%
  9. 2-2
    5.5%
  10. 3-1
    4.1%

Correct score is a long shot by nature — even the likeliest scoreline here is well under evens.

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Recent form

Most recent first
Cardiff City FC2 pts / 6
DD
3 scored3 conceded100% BTTS0 clean sheets
Sheffield United FC8 pts / 18
DDWLLW
7 scored7 conceded50% BTTS3 clean sheets

Head to head

Last 6 meetings

0

Cardiff

0

Draws

6

Sheffield Utd

  • 18 Apr 25Sheffield United FC 2-0 Cardiff City FC
  • 21 Dec 24Cardiff City FC 0-2 Sheffield United FC
  • 15 Apr 23Sheffield United FC 4-1 Cardiff City FC
  • 12 Nov 22Cardiff City FC 0-1 Sheffield United FC
  • 23 Apr 22Sheffield United FC 1-0 Cardiff City FC

Head-to-head is context, not evidence. Squads turn over, and five meetings is far too small a sample to move a probability on its own — the model treats it that way.