BetriX
Championship· Matchday 3Sat, 29 Aug · 15:00 WAT

Blackburn Rovers FC

15:00

Queens Park Rangers FC

Model's strongest readUnder 3.5 Goals76.5% · fair 1.3157/100 confidence

Match analysis

Model generated

Blackburn Rovers FC favoured at 38%, in a middling game

The model projects 1.31 goals for Blackburn Rovers FC and 1.16 for Queens Park Rangers FC, giving 38% for the home win, 31% for the draw and 31% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 580 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

On goals, 2.46 expected in total puts over 2.5 at 45% and both teams to score at 52%. This projects as a cagey afternoon; the unders look the more solid side of the market.

Recent form: Blackburn Rovers FC have taken 8 points from their last 6 (WDLWDL), scoring 8 and conceding 9. Queens Park Rangers FC have 4 from 6 (DWLLLL), scoring 6 and conceding 11.

Across the last 10 meetings, Blackburn Rovers FC have won 6, Queens Park Rangers FC 4, with 0 drawn and 2.40 goals a game. Head-to-head is a small sample and the model treats it as context, not evidence.

  • Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 15%
  • Expected goals: 1.31 - 1.16
  • Clean sheet chance: Blackburn Rovers FC 31%, Queens Park Rangers FC 27%
  • Queens Park Rangers FC rate materially stronger in attack
  • Outcome spread is near-uniform — this is a genuinely open match

Match result

1X2
Blackburn Rovers FC2.6338.1%
Draw3.2331.0%
Queens Park Rangers FC3.2330.9%

Odds shown are the model's fair price — what the bet would be worth with no bookmaker margin attached.

Goals

2.46 expected

Home xG

1.31

Away xG

1.16

Total

2.46

Over 0.5
90%
Over 1.5
72%
Over 2.5
45%
Over 3.5
23%
Over 4.5
10%

Both teams to score

BTTS

52%

Yes

48%

No

Blackburn clean sheet

31%

QPR clean sheet

27%

Double chance

Two outcomes covered
1XBlackburn or Draw1.4569%
X2QPR or Draw1.6162%
12Either team1.4569%

Correct score

Most likely scorelines
  1. 1-1
    14.8%
  2. 0-0
    10.4%
  3. 1-0
    9.2%
  4. 2-1
    8.4%
  5. 0-1
    7.9%
  6. 1-2
    7.4%
  7. 2-0
    7.3%
  8. 0-2
    5.7%
  9. 2-2
    4.9%
  10. 3-1
    3.7%

Correct score is a long shot by nature — even the likeliest scoreline here is well under evens.

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Recent form

Most recent first
Blackburn Rovers FC8 pts / 18
WDLWDL
8 scored9 conceded67% BTTS0 clean sheets
Queens Park Rangers FC4 pts / 18
DWLLLL
6 scored11 conceded50% BTTS1 clean sheets

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

6

Blackburn

0

Draws

4

QPR

  • 14 Feb 26Queens Park Rangers FC 1-3 Blackburn Rovers FC
  • 26 Nov 25Blackburn Rovers FC 0-1 Queens Park Rangers FC
  • 4 Feb 25Queens Park Rangers FC 2-1 Blackburn Rovers FC
  • 28 Sept 24Blackburn Rovers FC 2-0 Queens Park Rangers FC
  • 3 Feb 24Blackburn Rovers FC 1-2 Queens Park Rangers FC

Head-to-head is context, not evidence. Squads turn over, and five meetings is far too small a sample to move a probability on its own — the model treats it that way.