Championship· Matchday 3Sat, 29 Aug · 15:00 WAT
Bolton Wanderers FC
15:00
Lincoln City FC
Match analysis
Model generatedNot enough history to call Bolton Wanderers FC vs Lincoln City FC
The model projects 1.55 goals for Bolton Wanderers FC and 1.03 for Lincoln City FC, giving 47% for the home win, 29% for the draw and 23% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 580 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
On goals, 2.57 expected in total puts over 2.5 at 47% and both teams to score at 52%. That is close enough to a coin flip that the goals markets offer little edge either way.
Recent form: Bolton Wanderers FC have taken 4 points from their last 2 (DW), scoring 2 and conceding 1. Lincoln City FC have 0 from 2 (LL), scoring 2 and conceding 5.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 14%
- Expected goals: 1.55 - 1.03
- Clean sheet chance: Bolton Wanderers FC 36%, Lincoln City FC 21%
- The two attacks rate close to level
- Outcome spread is near-uniform — this is a genuinely open match
- One or both clubs have too few completed matches in the sample for a reliable rating.
Match result
1X2Odds shown are the model's fair price — what the bet would be worth with no bookmaker margin attached.
Goals
2.57 expectedHome xG
1.55
Away xG
1.03
Total
2.57
Both teams to score
BTTS52%
Yes
48%
No
Bolton clean sheet
Lincoln City clean sheet
Double chance
Two outcomes coveredCorrect score
Most likely scorelines- 1-113.9%
- 1-010.0%
- 0-09.4%
- 2-19.4%
- 2-09.1%
- 1-26.2%
- 0-16.0%
- 3-14.8%
- 2-24.8%
- 3-04.7%
Correct score is a long shot by nature — even the likeliest scoreline here is well under evens.
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Most recent firstHead to head
Previous meetingsNo previous meetings found in the available data.